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乡村旅游与农村经济增长关系的实证分析——基于河北省乡村旅游示范点的调研

标题: 乡村旅游与农村经济增长关系的实证分析——基于河北省乡村旅游示范点的调研
英文标题: A positive analysis on the relationship between rural tourism and rural economic growth—based on the research of demonstration pilot project of rural tourism in Hebei province
作者: 李娟,王健
英文作者: Li Juan,Wang Jian,Economics and Trade College,Agricultural University of Hebei
召开时间: 2014-04-19
机构: 河北农业大学经济贸易学院
关键词: 乡村旅游,农村经济增长,格兰杰因果关系,ADF检验
英文关键词: Rural tourism,Rural economic growth,Granger Causality,ADF Test
会议名称: 2014中国旅游科学年会
会议地点: 中国北京
会议级别: 全国
学会名称: 中国旅游研究院
基金: 2012年度国家旅游局科研项目:乡村旅游对农村经济发展贡献度研究(12TABG016)
主题: 乡村旅游与农村经济增长关系的实证分析——基于河北省乡村旅游示范点的调研
分类号: F224;F592.7;F327
摘要: 对河北省乡村旅游示范点进行调研,搜集得到2001-2011年河北省乡村旅游示范点年旅游收入与当地农村总收入数据,运用Eviews 5.0软件,通过ADF单位根平稳性检验、协整检验、误差修正模型,对搜集到的数据进行分析。得出的结果为:河北省乡村旅游收入与当地农村总收入之间存在稳定的长期均衡正向增长关系,并且这种关系在短期内也是存在的。最后借助格兰杰因果关系检验出:河北省乡村旅游是当地农村经济增长的Granger原因,而当地农村经济增长不是当地乡村旅游的Granger原因。这一研究结论可为乡村旅游发展的政策制定提供参考依据。
英文摘要: On research of the demonstration site of rural tourism in Hebei province, gathered the data of rural tourism in tourism revenue and local rural income from 2001-2011 in Hebei province. Using the data of demonstration pilot project and Eviews 5.0 software, by ADF unit root stationary test, co-integration test, error correction model, analyze the collected data. The issues of the analysis are as follows: the rural tourism revenue and local rural income in Hebei province show a stability of long-term positive growth equilibrium relationship, and this relationship is also exist in the short term. Finally by using Granger causality test: Hebei province rural tourism is the Granger cause of rural economic growth, the local rural economic growth is not the Granger cause of local rural tourism. In view of the above analysis, put forward that the countermeasures and suggestions of the rural tourism development may be as references for policy making.